Do you think that BJP will win the West Bengal Bidhan Sabha elections 2021?

Do you think that BJP will win the West Bengal Bidhan Sabha elections 2021?

There are 10 things in favour of BJP.
One:
Mamata Banerjee is ruling West Bengal since two consecutive terms that are 10 years. Anti-incumbency is the first advantage of BJP.
Two:
Owaisi is going to contest in West Bengal elections. This will cut the votes of the hard-core minority. This is something which has already happened in Bihar.
Three:
In order to tackle Owaisi, Mamata Banerjee will play secularism card by bringing in Nushrat Jahan, a Muslim celebrity actress and politician who adopted Hindu way of life after marrying a Hindu man, to appease Hindu community.
Four:
There is no guarantee that Nusrat Jahan card will gain Hindu votes for Mamata Banerjee, however, it will surely make her lose minority votes, which is a plus point for BJP.
Five:
BJP had very less scope to win in Bihar. However, Modi's rallies made it possible. BJP will once again bank on Modi to get the things in its favour.
Six:
Anti-CAA riots have woken many Bengali Hindus, hence they might prefer BJP over TMC this time.
Seven:
In 2019, Lok Sabha election BJP has gained a good number of seats in West Bengal, which was a very positive sign from the voters.
Eight:
Rahul Gandhi factor might once again help BJP in forming the government in West Bengal.
Nine:
Owaisi wants BJP to win the election. That's because it is easy to radicalise minorities when BJP is in power. It will help him to establish his party in West Bengal.
Ten:
Many BJP workers and RSS members are killed in West Bengal by TMC goons. Due to this, BJP workers, who work on the ground level, have very high morale. Trust me ground level work is equally important.
So yeah, BJP has pretty good chance to win West Bengal elections.